U.S. Chamber of Commerce comes to Vancouver to strategize with oil industry
At a meeting last week of the Canadian Oil and Gas Export Summit in Vancouver, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce sent a representative to huddle with industry. Here's a look at how the Republican Party is extending its influence into Canada.
This is the first of a special three-part series on what was said and heard at the Summit.
- According to a report from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) – said by many speakers at the summit to be "too conservative" with its estimates – global energy demand will rise 53 per cent between 2008 and 2035. Guith said 90 per cent of that demand will come from develping nations, including places where millions are currently without household electricity.
- Renewable energy will not fill the gap, he said, as it needs heavy government subsidies to survive. Even though wind installations in the U.S. are up 31 per cent in 2011, Guith said that the federal wind tax credit is set to expire on December 31, and claimed this meant an uncertain future for the industry.
- Given the slumping economy and rising oil prices, Guith said, U.S. public opinion is shifting more and more in favour of offshore drilling and oil exploration.
In his view, North America is uniquely positioned to make substantial profits through offshore drilling and oil exploration. His line of thought: as developing countries rapidly industrialize, so does their demand for energy. Enter Canada, with its political stability and rich oil and gas resources.
He pointed to a screen showing a statement of "profound disappointment" from Prime Minister Stephen Harper after the U.S. rejection of the controversial Keystone XL pipeline.
"We Yanks have a reputation for being a little brash," he said, "but at least you know where we stand. You have these statements, which I understand are pretty big statements coming out of Ottawa – but from an American policy standpoint, it's like...'profound disappointment'?
"Is that the best the Prime Minister can do? He must not be very upset. If it was the other way around you would have people talking about invading Canada. I say this only to make a point that it is difficult when our friends to the north don't necessarily play as directly as we do.”
Renewable energy – not an option?
What importance will renewable energy have in supplying the global demand for energy? Not much, according to Guith. He insisted that renewable energy such as wind and solar won't become mainstream for several reasons: for one, renewable energy is not competitive with oil in his view.
"Renewables are tied directly to federal subsidies – it's not competitive," he argued. "Wind is closer than other forms of renewable energy, but no one expects to see offshore investment happen. The margin is too far out for any sort of investment."
Secondly, he said, even renewable energy projects tend to be stalled due to the BANANA syndrome ( "Build Absolutely Nothing Anywhere Near Anyone," described as "NIMBY on steroids").